1. Introduction; Elisabeth A. Lloyd and Eric Winsberg -- Section 1: Confirmation and Evidence -- 2. The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know We're Not Wrong?; Naomi Oreskes -- 3. Satellite Data and Climate Models Redux -- 3a. Introduction to Chapter 3: Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- Ch. 3b Fact Sheet to "Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere"; Benjamin D. Santer et al. -- Ch. 3c Reprint of "Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere"; Benjamin D. Santer and others -- 4. The Role of 'Complex' Empiricism in the Debates about Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- 5. Reconciling Climate Model/Data Discrepancies: The Case of the Trees That Didn't Bark; Michael Mann -- 6. Downscaling of Climate Information; Linda O. Mearns and others -- Section 2: Uncertainties and Robustness -- 7. The Significance of Robust Model Projections; Wendy S. Parker -- 8. Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling; Jay Odenbaugh -- Section 3: Climate Models as Guides to Policy -- 9. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World; Reto Knutti -- 10. Uncertainty in Climate Science and Climate Policy; Jonathan Rougier and Michel Crucifix -- 11. Communicating Uncertainty to Policy Makers: The Ineliminable Role of Values; Eric Winsberg -- 12. Modeling Climate Policies: A Critical Look at Integrated Assessment Models; Mathias Frisch -- 13. Modelling Mitigation and Adaptation Policies to Predict their Effectiveness: The Limits of Randomized Controlled Trials; Alexandre Marcellesi and Nancy D. Cartwright.